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Red34
83916.8
16635.8
Blue30
105923.3
17527.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46510204060801001203430

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
Unranked
35.80.3
32.032.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.4
175
Unranked
27.40.3
27.326.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
839
Unranked
16.80.5
14.314.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.5
1059
Unranked
23.30.5
24.023.5
Auto
Teleop
End