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Red93
80911.4
15730.3
Blue8
10719.8
15511.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3329050100150200250938

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157
Unranked
30.33.0
26.529.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.2
155
Unranked
11.04.0
15.111.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
809
Unranked
11.44.0
6.710.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
1071
Unranked
9.84.0
13.89.8
Auto
Teleop
End