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Red84
49443.3
2543.8
Blue4
10329.2
8736.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8567050100150200844

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
Unranked
43.80.8
42.643.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.7
87
Unranked
36.20.8
37.036.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
494
Unranked
43.30.8
42.543.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.0
103
Unranked
29.20.8
30.529.7
Auto
Teleop
End