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Quarterfinal 3-22003 Curie Division
Red0
18829.7
12134.5
Blue8
12633.9
78123.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6557010015020008

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
121
Unranked
34.50.2
34.734.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
126
Unranked
33.90.2
34.634.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
188
Unranked
29.70.2
29.929.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
781
Unranked
23.00.2
22.823.0
Auto
Teleop
End