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Red37
3019.8
8736.2
Blue43
49443.3
95515.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47440204060801003743

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
87
Unranked
36.20.3
33.833.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.1
494
Unranked
43.30.3
36.837.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
301
Unranked
9.80.3
13.313.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
955
Unranked
15.20.4
7.57.9
Auto
Teleop
End