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Red32
95515.2
52252.9
Blue11
17136.3
3717.5
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions744201001503211

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
522
Unranked
52.90.4
58.357.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.6
171
Unranked
36.30.4
35.836.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
955
Unranked
15.20.4
15.515.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.7
371
Unranked
7.50.4
6.46.8
Auto
Teleop
End