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Red70
121843.4
14838.9
Blue30
105725.8
48027.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8159020401001201407030

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
Unranked
43.40.7
42.743.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.3
480
Unranked
27.10.7
28.728.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
148
Unranked
38.90.8
38.539.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.1
1057
Unranked
25.80.9
30.629.7
Auto
Teleop
End