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Red3
81824.7
22920.4
Blue55
1641.9
11532.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50760204060100120140160355

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
818
Unranked
24.71.0
25.824.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.2
16
Unranked
41.91.0
42.043.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
229
Unranked
20.41.2
24.022.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.8
115
Unranked
32.21.0
33.834.8
Auto
Teleop
End