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Red34
3526.9
81824.7
Blue38
78123.0
7923.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions523902060801001201401603438

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35
Unranked
26.90.6
27.026.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
79
Unranked
23.40.6
20.020.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
818
Unranked
24.70.6
24.924.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
781
Unranked
23.00.8
19.220.0
Auto
Teleop
End