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Red33
38631.0
53726.2
Blue43
26915.6
30825.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54260204060801001203343

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
Unranked
31.01.4
29.928.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
308
Unranked
25.11.4
17.619.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
537
Unranked
26.21.9
24.222.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.6
269
Unranked
15.61.9
8.310.2
Auto
Teleop
End