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Red36
14838.9
33719.2
Blue72
24531.4
65032.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions566102040801001201403672

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
Unranked
38.91.1
39.338.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
650
Unranked
32.11.5
27.929.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
337
Unranked
19.21.7
16.715.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.1
245
Unranked
31.41.1
33.534.6
Auto
Teleop
End