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Red44
2543.8
23432.8
Blue12
22920.4
58529.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72520204060801001201404412

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
Unranked
43.80.4
35.736.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.5
585
Unranked
29.40.5
27.727.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
234
Unranked
32.80.4
36.537.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.3
229
Unranked
20.40.4
24.123.6
Auto
Teleop
End