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Red24
11532.2
4355.4
Blue40
56111.1
48027.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42401020305060702440

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
Unranked
32.20.7
35.034.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
480
Unranked
27.10.7
30.631.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
435
Unranked
5.40.8
6.65.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
561
Unranked
11.10.7
9.410.0
Auto
Teleop
End