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Red30
100514.8
7139.9
Blue64
12633.9
78123.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6145020801001201403064

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
Unranked
39.91.9
42.040.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
126
Unranked
33.91.9
28.330.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1005
Unranked
14.82.7
19.316.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.2
781
Unranked
23.02.7
16.419.2
Auto
Teleop
End