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Red20
10354.4
15912.8
Blue63
11.3
12633.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2140060801001201401602063

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159
Unranked
12.81.0
11.710.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.0
126
Unranked
33.90.9
33.734.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1035
Unranked
4.41.0
9.58.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
1
Unranked
1.30.9
6.27.1
Auto
Teleop
End