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Red8
20322.3
102314.1
Blue37
22332.7
18829.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4061050100150200837

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203
Unranked
22.30.3
22.522.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.4
223
Unranked
32.70.3
31.031.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1023
Unranked
14.10.4
17.517.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.6
188
Unranked
29.70.3
30.030.3
Auto
Teleop
End