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Red100
78123.0
3717.5
Blue18
5134.2
8699.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2521040608010010018

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
781
Unranked
23.03.2
20.924.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.1
869
Unranked
9.92.9
11.48.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
371
Unranked
7.52.9
4.57.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
513
Unranked
4.23.2
9.15.9
Auto
Teleop
End