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Red33
80911.6
95515.2
Blue35
11532.2
3526.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23620501001503335

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
Unranked
15.21.4
14.015.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.0
115
Unranked
32.21.4
34.432.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
809
Unranked
11.61.4
8.59.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.2
35
Unranked
26.91.4
28.026.6
Auto
Teleop
End