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Red118
34341.2
30825.1
Blue51
90512.5
102314.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5727020408010012014011851

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
Unranked
41.21.4
34.636.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 27.1
1023
Unranked
14.11.7
17.115.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
308
Unranked
25.11.4
22.824.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.6
905
Unranked
12.51.4
10.49.0
Auto
Teleop
End