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Red63
85724.5
12633.9
Blue85
7139.3
61031.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6441020801001201401606385

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
Unranked
33.91.7
36.434.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
610
Unranked
31.41.7
29.731.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
857
Unranked
24.51.9
27.625.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.2
713
Unranked
9.31.7
11.413.1
Auto
Teleop
End