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Red102
4573.7
1641.9
Blue52
4355.4
33719.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4426020608010012010252

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
Unranked
41.91.2
42.944.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.7
337
Unranked
19.21.2
21.420.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
457
Unranked
3.71.2
1.32.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
435
Unranked
5.41.2
4.93.7
Auto
Teleop
End