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Red41
56111.1
6046.6
Blue38
23432.8
10329.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions546602040801001201401604138

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60
Unranked
46.60.6
45.245.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.8
234
Unranked
32.80.6
34.634.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
561
Unranked
11.10.6
9.19.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.1
103
Unranked
29.20.6
31.831.2
Auto
Teleop
End