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Red100
66532.2
114435.9
Blue15
801-0.5
31219.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3941020608010012010015

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1144
Unranked
35.95.5
15.320.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.0
312
Unranked
19.95.5
23.718.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
665
Unranked
32.25.5
23.428.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 32.7
801
Unranked
-0.55.5
17.411.9
Auto
Teleop
End