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Red70
65412.7
38630.6
Blue24
17638.0
16815.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3855020801001201401607024

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
Unranked
30.64.0
19.723.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
176
Unranked
38.02.4
34.632.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
654
Unranked
12.74.0
18.022.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
168
Unranked
15.74.0
20.516.5
Auto
Teleop
End