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Red16
45620.7
84517.5
Blue120
114435.9
26712.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2447040608010012014016016120

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
Unranked
20.75.0
11.06.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.2
1144
Unranked
35.95.0
20.825.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
845
Unranked
17.55.0
12.67.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
267
Unranked
12.05.0
26.531.5
Auto
Teleop
End