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Red58
588-7.5
18620.8
Blue45
408-6.2
7804.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383401002003004005005845

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186
Unranked
20.80.6
22.122.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.8
780
Unranked
4.00.6
24.323.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
588
Unranked
-7.50.6
15.616.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
408
Unranked
-6.20.6
10.19.5
Auto
Teleop
End