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Red30
10825.8
408-6.2
Blue110
2121.4
4594.2
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35250608010012014016030110

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108
Unranked
25.85.6
30.524.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
21
Unranked
21.45.6
24.029.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
408
Unranked
-6.25.6
4.6-1.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.4
459
Unranked
4.25.6
1.06.6
Auto
Teleop
End