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Red41
801-0.5
38630.6
Blue92
114435.9
21226.9
31%Model gave it69%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315802040801001201401604192

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
Unranked
30.61.5
27.325.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
1144
Unranked
35.91.5
36.037.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
801
Unranked
-0.51.5
3.52.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 27.4
212
Unranked
26.91.5
21.723.2
Auto
Teleop
End