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Red49
611.9
18620.8
Blue39
31219.9
9418.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264102060801001204939

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186
Unranked
20.81.6
21.723.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
312
Unranked
19.91.6
21.820.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
6
Unranked
11.91.6
4.76.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
94
Unranked
18.00.9
19.518.6
Auto
Teleop
End