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Red98
66532.2
114435.9
Blue6
34215.4
4594.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66320204080100120140160986

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1144
Unranked
35.93.4
36.239.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.5
342
Unranked
15.43.4
22.318.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
665
Unranked
32.23.4
29.432.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.0
459
Unranked
4.23.4
10.06.6
Auto
Teleop
End