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Red5
23339.1
10839.7
Blue38
17638.0
65412.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52450100150200538

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
Unranked
39.12.4
43.240.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
176
Unranked
38.01.5
36.838.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1083
Unranked
9.72.4
9.36.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
654
Unranked
12.72.5
8.010.5
Auto
Teleop
End