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Red80
10825.8
408-6.2
Blue165
7918.3
14741.3
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17570408010012014016080165

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108
Unranked
25.82.6
27.725.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.5
147
Unranked
41.32.6
40.142.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
408
Unranked
-6.22.6
-10.5-13.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 24.5
79
Unranked
18.31.7
16.918.6
Auto
Teleop
End