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Red9
102925.7
10657.4
Blue16
611.9
94513.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions411606080100916

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1029
Unranked
25.71.7
28.727.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.4
945
Unranked
13.41.7
10.412.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1065
Unranked
7.41.7
12.210.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
6
Unranked
11.91.9
5.57.4
Auto
Teleop
End