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Red128
18620.8
38630.6
Blue72
34215.4
1792.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5219040608010012012872

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
Unranked
30.61.1
33.334.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.2
342
Unranked
15.41.1
15.514.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
186
Unranked
20.81.3
19.020.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.5
179
Unranked
2.21.1
3.42.2
Auto
Teleop
End