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Red4
71038.6
31219.9
Blue8
21226.9
10825.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5950010015020025030048

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
710
Unranked
38.60.2
38.938.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.7
212
Unranked
26.90.2
25.425.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
312
Unranked
19.90.2
20.119.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
108
Unranked
25.80.2
24.324.5
Auto
Teleop
End