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Red68
3431.8
65421.3
Blue40
41515.9
80319.4
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29330204060806840

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34
Unranked
31.82.0
17.719.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.4
803
Unranked
19.42.0
14.612.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
654
Unranked
21.31.5
11.713.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
415
Unranked
15.92.0
18.516.5
Auto
Teleop
End