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Red69
107716.7
86821.9
Blue73
1041-6.6
15818.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33350204060801006973

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
Unranked
21.90.5
20.419.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
158
Unranked
18.00.4
8.99.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1077
Unranked
16.70.6
16.215.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.4
1041
Unranked
-6.60.6
22.423.0
Auto
Teleop
End