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Red38
28125.7
106925.4
Blue4
11678.4
88828.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42431020305060384

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
Unranked
25.71.8
21.323.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
888
Unranked
28.41.8
23.521.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1069
Unranked
25.42.2
20.823.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.0
1167
Unranked
8.42.2
19.817.6
Auto
Teleop
End