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Red49
46232.0
112711.8
Blue48
65421.3
90020.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40410102030506070804948

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
462
Unranked
32.00.1
19.819.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.7
654
Unranked
21.30.1
19.719.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1127
Unranked
11.80.1
21.721.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.1
900
Unranked
20.90.1
19.319.4
Auto
Teleop
End