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Red0
117711.0
100724.2
Blue18
11678.4
80716.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52260100150200018

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1007
Unranked
24.22.7
31.428.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
807
Unranked
16.12.7
13.616.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1177
Unranked
11.02.7
20.217.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
1167
Unranked
8.42.7
12.715.4
Auto
Teleop
End