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Red130
35637.3
46232.0
Blue9
104010.8
11393.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions492304060801001201401601309

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
356
Unranked
37.33.6
26.930.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.5
1040
Unranked
10.86.0
12.46.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
462
Unranked
32.06.0
21.727.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.5
1139
Unranked
3.46.0
10.54.6
Auto
Teleop
End