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Red3
107716.7
65421.3
Blue61
106925.4
50729.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47410100150200250300361

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
654
Unranked
21.32.4
20.217.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.8
507
Unranked
29.14.0
21.025.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1077
Unranked
16.74.0
26.522.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.6
1069
Unranked
25.44.0
19.523.5
Auto
Teleop
End