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Red43
100214.8
86821.9
Blue5
12254.1
118314.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3626050100150200435

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
Unranked
21.91.0
21.822.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.9
1183
Unranked
14.01.7
13.912.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1002
Unranked
14.81.7
14.716.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.7
1225
Unranked
4.11.7
11.910.2
Auto
Teleop
End