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Red9
18624.9
100214.8
Blue26
118020.2
65421.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41350100150200250300350926

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186
Unranked
24.90.8
24.123.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
654
Unranked
21.30.8
17.818.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1002
Unranked
14.81.4
16.415.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
1180
Unranked
20.21.4
17.418.8
Auto
Teleop
End