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Red85
116610.1
8663.7
Blue182
117711.0
49436.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions224105010015085182

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1166
Unranked
10.14.3
14.410.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 26.7
494
Unranked
36.83.0
33.236.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
866
Unranked
3.74.3
8.03.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.2
1177
Unranked
11.04.3
7.411.7
Auto
Teleop
End