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Red38
118314.0
116610.1
Blue7
12254.1
86821.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36410206080100387

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1183
Unranked
14.06.4
14.020.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.9
868
Unranked
21.91.9
22.320.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1166
Unranked
10.110.3
10.120.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
1225
Unranked
4.112.0
4.116.0
Auto
Teleop
End