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Red40
3431.8
49436.8
Blue37
18624.9
65421.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions694602060801001201401604037

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
Unranked
36.80.3
37.136.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.9
186
Unranked
24.90.3
24.624.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
34
Unranked
31.80.3
32.131.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.5
654
Unranked
21.30.3
21.121.3
Auto
Teleop
End