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Red1
46232.0
34334.6
Blue39
35637.3
50729.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67660204080100120140139

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
Unranked
34.60.5
34.834.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
356
Unranked
37.30.5
37.037.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
462
Unranked
32.00.7
32.331.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
507
Unranked
29.10.7
28.829.4
Auto
Teleop
End