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Red6
34126.3
17531.0
Blue35
16723.2
31226.6
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58490204080100120140160635

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
Unranked
31.00.5
31.531.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
312
Unranked
26.60.5
26.326.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
341
Unranked
26.30.5
26.726.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
167
Unranked
23.20.5
22.723.2
Auto
Teleop
End