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Red7
24914.7
42112.9
Blue24
3343.2
30329.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2730050100150200724

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
249
Unranked
14.70.5
13.412.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.9
303
Unranked
29.60.5
26.326.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
421
Unranked
12.90.5
14.013.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.7
334
Unranked
3.20.5
4.04.5
Auto
Teleop
End